Without consent there is no honourable case for remaining in the EU

March for Europe, July 2016 by mazz_5

A year ago I predicted that Britain was almost certain to trigger Article 50 and begin exiting the EU, after a narrow but clear victory for “leave” in the referendum.

So it has proved. In March prime minister Theresa May sent a letter to Brussels indicating that Britain will leave the bloc after 40 years’ membership. Legal commentary saw it as inevitable that once the article was invoked Britain would make for the exit, albeit with some resistance.

Now, who knows?

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Forecast: Will Donald Trump serve a full four-year presidential term?

Donald Trump caricature for presidency longevity forecast

Almost two months into what is slated to be the most controversial American presidency since the Second World War, and pundits in the District of Columbia must already be running out of adjectives.

The fast-rising cliché concerning the literal or serious nature of Donald Trump’s campaign promises has been swiftly turned on its head since he was inaugurated on January 20, particular with an executive order temporarily barring travel to the United States from seven Muslim majority countries.

People are now taking The Donald somewhat at his word, at least for the time being.

But even with this latest turn, the notion that the Trumpster is simply not that interested in being president of the world’s greatest superpower – with all the boredom that entails – makes you wonder whether he will last the next four years.

Add to that his age, and the fact that a good portion of Americans must wish somebody would take a shot at him, and this makes for an ideal forecasting topic.

What are the chances that Donald Trump will complete his first term as president of the United States?

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Labour Is No Longer The Party Of Kinnock Or Kendall, But Corbyn And McDonnell

War Criminals, April 2007 by Fabio Venni

As the strife in Labour mounted following the EU referendum, its former leader Neil Kinnock told a meeting of the party’s MPs: “Dammit this is our party! I’ve been in it for 60 years! I’m not leaving it to anybody!”

The sentiment was repeated, albeit in milder form, by the former leadership hopeful Liz Kendall in an interview with GQ last week.

“I’m not going to leave my party,” she said. “I am not going to give up my party to people who do not represent what we believe.”

Who exactly the “we” or the “our” Kinnock and Kendall refer to is unclear in the above statements.

Indeed, the tussle over Britain’s major leftwing party has revealed a complex ownership that underpins any large organisation.

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