Will Boris Johnson fight the next general election? (Part 3)
Last year I calculated that the base rate for sitting prime ministers’ odds of fighting the next general election is lower than you might expect. When the...
Category: Forecast
Will Boris Johnson fight the next general election? (Part 2)
Back in May I noted that despite Boris Johnson’s commanding majority in Parliament, the broad odds on him fighting the next election were mixed. To quote ...
Will Boris Johnson fight the next general election?
It is never too early to wonder whether our prime minister will still be in office by the next general election. The Right Dishonourable asked whether Donald Tr...
Forecast: Will Donald Trump serve a full four-year presidential term?
Almost two months into what is slated to be the most controversial American presidency since the Second World War, and pundits in Washington, DC, must be runnin...
Forecast: Will The Labour Party Split Under Jeremy Corbyn?
Since the selection of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the Labour party last summer, pundits across the spectrum have mused of a potential split in Britain’s m...