Unions prepare for squabble with Tories over anti-strike Trade Union Bill

End Austerity Now Protest, June 2015 by John Servante

British unions are preparing for a political battle with the Tories on Monday as the Commons begins to debate a controversial bill that could limit workers’ ability to strike.

Provisions from the Trade Union Bill will demand higher voting thresholds from unions before a strike, reduce unions’ ability to picket and allow use of agency staff to cover strikes.

Under the plans half of ballot-holders must vote in a poll for it to be valid, and 40 percent of eligible voters must back a strike in “key health, education, fire, transport, border security and nuclear decommissioning sectors” before such action can go ahead.

Frances O’Grady, general secretary of the Trade Union Congress, a club for unions, will tell its annual conference on Monday:

“If an employer believed we couldn’t strike, they wouldn’t bother to bargain. We wouldn’t have safe workplaces, we wouldn’t have paid holidays and we wouldn’t have equal pay.”

She will add:

“Nobody would deny that strikes can be inconvenient. But when it comes to a threat to the fundamental right to strike, the public are with us. Because that’s exactly what this government is doing. Attacking the very principle of the right to strike.”

Her comments were backed up by a number of trade unionist leaders, including Unite’s Len McCluskey and PCS’s Mark Serwotka, both of whom have threatened union action to rebut the Trade Union Bill.

“We have the ability to stop austerity in its tracks, to topple this government and to ensure we get a fairer society,” Serwotka told the Telegraph, the unionist having been controversially barred from voting in the Labour leadership contest over infiltration fears.

Tensions between unionists and the Tories are at a peak after the general election returned a surprise majority the Conservatives, who now lack the taming influence of the Liberal Democrats.

Evidence for this emerged as Vince Cable, former Lib Dem business secretary and Twickenham MP, who told the BBC last week:

“I worry now that the Tories are off the leash they can purse their ideological agenda and will do a lot of harm. They are very political. They see the trade unions and the Labour party as the enemy and the question is how do you weaken them? That is the starting point.”

Over the last few years London has been disrupted by Tube strikes that temporarily closed the underground rail service, the latest taking place in July.

However recent research from Oxford University has suggested that commuters found better ways to get to work after being forced to change their routes in a strike in February 2014, paradoxically benefiting the economy and transport system.

Defending the Trade Union Bill, employment minister Nick Boles said:

“Working people need to know they can get on with their lives without unjustified disruption. These modernising reforms will ensure strikes only happen as a result of a clear, positive and recent decision by those entitled to vote.”

Image Credit – End Austerity Now Protest, June 2015

Jeremy Corbyn dodges media questions over lack of women in cabinet

Jeremy Corbyn, No More War at Parliament Square, August 2014, Garry Knight

Hard leftist Jeremy Corbyn is already avoiding troubling questions from the press over how many women he will appoint to his cabinet, after he pledged that a majority of his shadow cabinet will be female.

Questioned over this by Sky’s political reporter Darren McCaffrey, the North Islington MP and recent winner of the Labour leadership election kept shtum, having attacked the media’s treatment of previous leader Ed Miliband in his victory speech on Saturday.

Corbyn is already under attack for having given the three most senior shadow cabinet roles to penis-owners John McDonnell (shadow chancellor), Hilary Benn (shadow foreign secretary and Andy Burnham (shadow home secretary), a leadership rival who had said Corbyn’s victory would be a “disaster” for the party.

This followed Tom Watson’s victory in the deputy leadership election for Labour, the West Bromwich MP triumphing over Stella Creasy, Angela Eagle and Caroline Flint, amid much whining from the Left that voters should adopt sexist voting tactics.

Corbyn confirmed via Twitter that such tactics would apply to his cabinet selection, building on a prior promise to make half of the cabinet female rather than selecting purely on merit.

In an interview with the Beeb’s Victoria Derbyshire, McDonnell said that the education and health portfolios, the latter of which will be taken by Heidi Alexander, were more important to the public than the three great offices of state, a hierarchy he attacked as an imperialist throwback.

Corbyn and friends confrontation with the media and rejection of cabinet norms is perhaps a glimmer of the revolution that has occurred within Labour within the last few months, or an example of the very spin that the Labour leader purports to stand against.

Image Credit – Jeremy Corbyn, No More War at Parliament Square, August 2014, Garry Knight

Tory attack video on Corbyn slams ‘threat to our national security’

Osama bin Laden via Conservative party

Even as the victory of Jeremy Corbyn in the Labour leadership election was revealed on Saturday the Tories were readying their media spin, the true beginning of a long campaign to win the next general election in 2020.

Now with the launch of an attack video criticising the North Islington MP’s doveish foreign policy the Conservatives are clearly hoping to find a fresher version of the Scottish National Party-Labour pact, a potential deal they used to attack Labour prior to the general election in May.

Whilst there are legitimate questions to be asked over Corbyn’s policies, some of which appear rather anti-Western, his describing of Osama bin Laden’s death as a “tragedy” is a principled defence of the rule of law, as the Right Dishonourable recently pointed out.

Expect smears to ramp up in the next few weeks as opponents of Corbyn look to cement his reputation as an unelectable dinosaur.

Image Credit – Osama bin Laden via Conservative party

YouGov: Corbyn victory clears pilloried pollsters after general election disaster

Jeremy Corbyn touching God, August 2015 by the People Speak

After the debacle at the general election many were sceptical about pollsters’ ability to successfully predict elections – rather a drawback in the industries’ line of work.

Yet the rise of hard leftist Jeremy Corbyn to the head of the Labour party is now being pointed to as vindication for the formerly vanquished pollsters, with YouGov claiming to have been at the centre of the consensus that expected the North Islington MP to win the leadership contest.

YouGov’s breakthrough poll results were released on the July 21st, revealing that Corbyn stood at 43 percent of first preference voting, with that figure moving up to 53 percent by August 10th, later revised to 57 percent after Labour released details of the voter composition.

In the event Corbyn ended up with 59.5 percent of first preferences, more than triple that of rivals Andy Burnham (19 percent) and Yvette Cooper (17 percent) and distant loser Liz Kendall (4.5 percent).

In a snipe at the bookies, whose results are often thought to be safer than those of the pollsters, YouGov editor-in-chief Freddie Sayers said:

“You sometimes hear the claim that for an accurate prediction, follow the betting odds. ‘That’s where people are putting their money where their mouth is,’ people say. As the below chart from Ladbrokes shows beyond doubt, this is nonsense: the betting odds are simply a reflection of the mainstream expectation – and the evidence that sets those expectations is the polling evidence, in this case only provided by YouGov.”

YouGov Corbyn polling and bookies' odds

Sayers also defended YouGov’s record in the general election, where all the pollsters missed the main story that the Tories would waltz home with a slender majority and Labour would be left licking its wounds:

“At the general election in May, YouGov polling correctly forecast the stories of the unprecedented Labour wipeout in Scotland and the collapse of the Lib Dems, but underestimated the Tory vote share by about 3% and overestimated the Labour vote share by about 3%. It meant that we got the main story wrong, and we’re conducting a detailed review of why this happened and will make corrections accordingly.”

Whether this bragging sees off the idea that “polling is broken”, to quote YouGov’s phrase, remains to be seen.

Image Credit – Jeremy Corbyn touching God, August 2015 by the People Speak

Andy Burnham ‘privately’ says Jeremy Corbyn ‘disaster for the Labour party’

Andy Burnham, FT Summer Party 2015

The Labour leadership contest having drawn to a close, many of the candidates other than hard leftist Jeremy Corbyn have already half-conceded defeat, with the winner due to be announced sometime on Saturday.

Whilst pols make a habit of playing nice with each other in public, in private they are not so polite. And Andy Burnham, at one time the frontrunner in the contest and still a potential shadow minister, is unimpressed with the way the election has gone:

“Privately, it is a disaster for the Labour party. I mean, publicly, he is a nice man, a nice individual. He believes in the things he campaigns on so he’s not a fraud in any way. But I think the public will think Labour has given up on ever being a government again.”

The footage was shot in an undercover sting by the Sun, which at least one cynic has suggested might be motivated by Burnham’s record standing up for victims’ families in the Hillsborough disaster.

Even so, there is clearly now some distance between Corbyn’s rivals and the rest of the Labour party, whose ranks have swelled in the wake of the general election to some 550,000 members, affiliated supporters and registered supporters.

All of which is awkward, given the safe bet is that Corbyn will be crowned on Saturday.

Image Credit – Andy Burnham, FT Summer Party 2015