Theresa May demands more diverse police force, but does it actually matter?

Edinburgh Police, April 1911 by Bruce R

“Sweeping claims for the benefits of demographic and cultural diversity have prevailed without a speck of evidence being asked for or given.” – Thomas Sowell, Intellectuals and Race

Theresa May, the home secretary and staunch but useless opponent of immigration, will on Thursday scold police for not doing enough to increase the diversity of their local forces.

Changing institutions to more accurately represent the demographics of the places they represent has in recent years become a popular task, but often it is merely asserted that “diversity” is a good thing without providing the evidence to back it up.

As such in a speech today Jackboot May will say:

“Increasing diversity in our police forces is not an optional extra. It goes right to the heart of this country’s historic principle of policing by consent. We must ensure that the public have trust and confidence in the police, and that the police reflect the communities they serve.”

“Policing by consent”, as the Home Office itself noted in December 2012, “refers to the power of the police coming from the common consent of the public, as opposed to the power of the state.”

How this applies to towns diced up into different ethnic enclaves is not exactly clear, but one might well assume that just as “no individual can chose to withdraw his or her consent from the police, or from a law”, the same might well apply to different groups in a multicultural society.

(Aside: One should always question when the word “community” is used whether it reflects a reality or an aspiration. More often than not, it is the latter.)

But all that said, the problem with May’s lauding of diversity is that there is evidence that recruiting non-whites into police roles does not necessarily lead to “consent” from particular ethnic groups.

Eli Silverman, a professor at New York’s John Jay College of Criminal Justice, told Fusion that captain Ron Johnson, a black copper called into Ferguson in the US after the race riots, was branded an “Uncle Tom” by locals, “a puppet doing the white man’s bidding.

No doubt this made him a less than effective ambassador between the disenfranchised blacks in Ferguson and their largely white police force.

It is also not entirely the fault of police forces that they remain more white than the regional population, since recruiting from ethnic groups with low levels of trust in the police is clearly harder than recruiting from ones with high levels of trust in the police.

But all this should be mere prelude to the most pertinent question: Are police forces with ethnic compositions similar to the areas they police more effective?

The answer? Possibly, but not because the skin colour of officers matters in itself.

In 2003 Brad Smith, a researcher from Wayne State University in Detroit, sifted through the data on racial diversity and police killings in cities in the US and concluded there was not much of a relationship between the two.

Other studies have drawn similar conclusions about police brutality and diversity, though as one study by Ivan Sun and Brian Payne from 2004 noted:

“Black officers are also more likely than white officers to conduct supportive activities in predominantly black neighbourhoods, whereas they do not differ in initiating supportive actions in racially diverse communities.”

Though diverse police forces are not necessarily more trusted than uniform police forces, greater understanding of a given ethnic group is likely to create the impression that the police are on their side.

Some American forces even require that police live within city limits, a rule which exemplifies the “policing by consent” mindset that May referenced above – though it should be noted such rules are enforced haphazardly even where they do exist.

To conclude then, whilst diversity within the force can ease a unit’s ability to establish trust with particular ethnic groups, hiring more black or other ethnic minorities is unlikely to yield this effect without more fundamental shifts in how police do their jobs.

It is easy, and a good piece of virtue-signalling, for May to call for more “diversity”. But if she was serious about improving police relations with ethnic minorities, she would be doing a lot more.

Image Credit – Edinburgh Police, April 1911 by Bruce R

Why we called the Joe Biden presidential campaign wrong

Joe Biden, October 2012 by DonkeyHotey

It’s not been a sterling year for predictions among the political punderati in Britain.

Firstly, all the British pollsters got the headline result of the general election wrong. Then pretty much everybody dismissed Jeremy Corbyn as a possible leader of Labour, only for him to go on and win 60 percent of the vote.

But at least it seems Britons are not the only ones flubbing our predictions. Most everyone in the United States thought that Joe Biden, current vice president, would contest the Democratic ticket to run for the top job in Washington.

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Mark Carney: EU has improved UK openness and dynamism, but created stability problems

Mark Carney, November 2013 by Financial Stability Board

In a speech that many political hacks view as a bid to support Britain remaining in the European Union, Bank of England governor Mark Carney noted a mixed but mostly positive economic story for the country’s involvement in the bloc.

The gist of Carney’s speech, which can be read in its entirety online, is best summarised by the following paragraph near the end:

“Overall, EU membership has increased the openness of the UK economy, facilitating dynamism but also creating some monetary and financial stability challenges for the Bank of England to manage. Thus far, we have been able to meet these challenges.”

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Rebel Tory MP condemns cuts to tax credits

Heidi Allen, via Twitter

Heidi Allen, Tory MP for South Cambridgeshire, attacked the plans of her own party to slash tax credits in her maiden speech to the Commons on Tuesday.

Her first speech to parliament saw her challenging the government directly, joining many on the left and much of Fleet Street in questioning plans to cut tax credits, a kind of working benefit that subsidises someone’s income.

https://youtu.be/DgJ4LnpIFg4

Not all of what she Allen made sense, with her incorrectly claiming that “debt has been falling consistently” when she presumably meant the deficit had been falling consistently (the deficit being, in rough terms, government income less government spending).

British national debt is still pretty high, though not out of keeping with the rest of the EU when calculated as a percentage of gross domestic product.

Where Allen was more convincing was when she made like Guardian columnist Owen Jones and began waxing about people who keep the country ticking over:

“A constituency does not function – a country and its economy do not function – if the people who run the engine cannot afford to operate it.

“To pull ourselves out of debt we should not be forcing working families into it.”

Some have speculated that Osborne and Cameron are getting the nastiest of the cuts out of the way so that by the time the next general election happens in 2020 the public will have forgotten what mischief occurred in this parliament’s early years.

But even so, it is hard not to disagree with Allen’s view that the Tories seem to be “sending a message to the poorest and most vulnerable in our society that we do not care”, and that the pace of reforms are “too hard and too fast.”

The MP previously attracted attention for saying that chancellor George Osborne is “too smooth” to succeed prime minister David Cameron as the next Conservative leader when he steps down later in this parliament.

It should be noted that none of her criticism above stopped her voting for tax credits.

She joins the Scottish Nationalist MP Mhairi Black in using a maiden speech to make a political statement, a departure from the previously dull format of maiden speeches, as explained by the BBC’s Norman Smith below:

Image Credit – Heidi Allen, via Twitter

South Park prepares to confront social justice brigade over body shaming in ‘Safe Space’

Safe Space, via South Park

South Park has never been the sort of cartoon that will avoid offending people if it can help it, and judging by a tweet from the series’ official account social justice warriors could be the latest target.

“Safe spaces”, in the social justice lexicon, refers to environments which restrict free speech in a supposed bid to protect marginalised groups from the stigma or criticism they face in mainstream circles.

However it looks like they could be in for a rough ride from South Park’s creators:

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